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Madelaine McMasters

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Everything posted by Madelaine McMasters

  1. There are lots of people who use SL, and have meetings. I think you're not going to like the responses you'll get here.
  2. Pfft, I still don't know how to drive the forum. Now I gotta find a different pic to replace the repeat of my previous post above. Dammit. Okay. This isn't me, but I found it interesting. After watching this avi for a few minutes, I came to the realization that there must be animation overriders for the eyes. Hers were darting about non-stop, spending most of their time as shown. The effect was to make her look hyper vigilant, wary, as if she suspected someone nefarious was approaching... I learn something new every day.
  3. And injecting disinfectant? By the way, as a kid I had "The Collected Works of Buck Rogers" (BIG book) and they used light as cures. Or was it the original reprint of Wonder Woman? I digress. I think it's safer to disembowel the body and spray the innards than to risk poking yourself with an injection needle.
  4. Hey, I'm an optimist. I believe there's a limit to our collective ignorance.
  5. I don't know, but I suspect it's higher than mine (which I don't know either ;-).
  6. I think we should peel and filet anyone suggesting UV therapy. It's easier to flip the internals out than to get the light in. That would also expose a lot of internal surface for a good spritz of Lysol spray.
  7. If so, you've just created a powerful voting cohort in support of nationalized health care.
  8. I heard last week that Trump wanted to host a two-hour-per-day radio or TV show. If true, I think that's truly the best idea he's ever had. Showman that he is, I still can't imagine him surviving very long with that much unfiltered exposure to the American public. Maybe it's wishfulness, but there's got to be a limit to how much ignorance he can display before the base starts to wonder.
  9. It's curious that the aggregate of the US government's actions during COVID-19 looks like Republicans poorly executing plans that have been historically the purview of the Democrats. We've got a massive injection of welfare money going to the wrong places, a massive and poorly executed effort to provide health care for everyone infected (which is eventually everyone), and ballooning debt to cover all of it. We live in interesting times.
  10. Yep, they're probably outnumbered by the people that want to return to their jobs and collect paychecks. One of my neighbors owns a small business that employs mostly minorities. He's livid about the lock down. He told me he spent considerable money just before stay-at-home here, making his business safer for his employees. They're all now out of work, and government support isn't enough for most of them. He thinks they'd be safer under his watchful eye. Unfortunately he then went on to sink his argument by claiming the virus is being hyped by pharmaceutical companies to boost their share prices. Given what little I know of both the epidemiology and economics, yours seems the best approach to me. Unfortunately I don't think would have worked in the US. We're a nation of cowboys and cowgirls and a substantial portion of the population won't follow orders, ensuring COVID-19 persists. As the virus impacts an increasing number of "non believers" I do expect compliance to increase, but that takes time we don't have.
  11. Have you got any paraffin in the house? Dentists use that to cover sharp bits of braces. Soften a half pea sized bit and squish it over the rough spot.
  12. I understand that, but if at the end of all this lock downs produce only 32% better mortality rate than no lock downs , Republicans will claim "See, we told you not to make the cure worse than the disease" and get considerable support.
  13. I agree, and those people have numbers like that 21.2% infection rate in NYC to hang their arguments on, as I did in my contrarian analysis. I expect that antibody testing will show we've got a long slog to herd immunity and we'll endure quite a few deaths to achieve it. I also think we'll improve care of the infected, lowing the mortality rate as we go forward. I don't think the lock-down protestors are suggesting we reopen those business that are obvious very high risk. Some of the meat packing plants that are being closed are in states that have no stay-at-home orders in place. A little fuzzy? It's pea soup fog! There may have been no way to inject so much stimulus so quickly without a lot of unintended consequences, but this is certainly looking like it was particularly poorly thought out. Estimating COVID-19's future effect on the economy is harder than estimating its future effect on the humans who run it. Nevertheless, we have to make those estimations. There are nearly 200 countries on Earth and 50 states within the USA, each providing little experimental sandboxes for COVID-19 policy. I sure hope we don't squander this opportunity to learn from our own, and others' mistakes.
  14. I'm not referring to the costs people experience personally. Mom wanted her pacemaker to go to someone who might not other wise get it. The financial impact to her for getting the pacemaker was, I think $320. That's a negligible amount to me, and actually to her. The financial cost to "the system" was (I'm working from foggy memory) about $25,000. Many of those arguing to reopen things will do everything they can to prevent themselves from infecting others, and are well aware of the risks they take themselves. I've been seeing video clips of beyond clueless people in those anti lock-down protests. They remind me of those "man on the street" interviews that pop up on some late night talk/comedy shows. They're rarely flattering and not representative of the thinking of other people of similar belief. The conservative politicians who're making the same argument are on much thinner ground in my opinion. $6T/20,000 = 300M https://www.theglobalist.com/the-cost-of-a-human-life-statistically-speaking/
  15. 4-23-2021 Donald Trump refutes accusations that he lost his bid for a second term as President of the United States by denying he'd had a first term.
  16. Yep, and that 88% failure rate for ventilation at one hospital chain in NYC is fuel for those who might argue there's no reason to overload a health care system that doesn't help the afflicted. I'm not making that argument, I'm anticipating it. In a few weeks, we should have enough data (probably from outside the US because our testing is still abysmal) about total infection rate to start projecting whether we'll hit herd immunity before a vaccine arrives. It will take longer to determine how long individual immunity lasts.
  17. I love ideas that are counterintuitive to me. They usually mean my intuition is broken. As we watch the "Trolley Problem" being debated, pitting lives lost to unrestricted freedom vs lives lost to economic disaster, there's this... https://www.history.com/news/great-depression-economy-life-expectancy https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2012/11/how-the-recession-improved-life-expectancy-but-didnt-make-us-healthier/265401/ And this... https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2019-04-08/100-000-americans-die-from-air-pollution-study-finds coupled to this... https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/22/world/air-pollution-reduction-cities-coronavirus-intl-hnk/index.html Yeah, I know the pollution reduction data comes from outside the US, but you'd imagine the US is seeing similar reductions in comparably dense population centers. So much to think about, so little brain to do it with. ETA, there's also this... https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/22/world/air-pollution-reduction-cities-coronavirus-intl-hnk/index.html Mom was making a utilitarian argument about her pacemaker. It was her right to make it. It was my right to attempt to talk her out of it. It's also my right to continue wondering about that.
  18. Unstated is the economic cost of that 32% reduction in mortality. That's the argument being posed by conservatives. It's a tremendously difficult thing to weigh, but people are going to weigh it. I suspect Sweden will ultimately determine they should have clamped down harder, but that's not a certainty for me at this moment. The problem is so complex, and the political divisions so deep, that I have some concern we won't actually learn a lot from this, though I remain cautiously optimistic. If you came to me weighing $6T in government programs, 20% unemployment and the host of other woes we're predicted to encounter against those 20,000 lives, I'd certainly pause a long time before answering. Looking at it another way. If all the destruction to the American economy that's being forecast to precipitate out of lock down measures comes true, and results in only a 32% better mortality rate than Sweden's, we're gonna look like a bunch of dumb SOBs. I too am skeptical of NYC's 21.2% total infection rate estimate. My point is that this number is now out in the wild and will be used to defend herd immunity arguments. If I just blow off someone who's read that article and sees it as justification for backing off on mitigation efforts, I've lost my opportunity to engage. The friend with whom I'm having this discussion remains fully engaged with me. Though he's more certain Sweden is going down the toilet than I am that it's not, we both find it valuable to sit on opposite sides of the argument. Based on my counter arguments, he's now going off looking for evidence to support my view. If he changes his mind, I'll probably take his old position. That's happened before in other arguments. We enjoy the process, as we're both searching for the same thing... the underlying truth. That's no argument until you assign costs to the plans. My mother had to be convinced to get a pacemaker after her stroke. There was a small portion of the cost that was not covered by insurance, and she knew that the bulk of the cost would be born by "the system". She didn't want me to lose that pittance from my inheritance, and she didn't want to deprive "the system" of the opportunity to put a pacemaker into someone who'd benefit more from it. I don't know when she might have died without the pacemaker, but she survived 20 months with it. So, there's a counter counter counter argument. Though this example means a lot to me, It's anecdotal and means little in the grand scheme of things. That's what I try to remember when I work through big problems like this. It's not about me. It's about us.
  19. Right. It's highly unlikely your air filter manual would mention interaction/interference with a computer, as it simply doesn't happen. Alwin might not understand this. Your particular filter contains only a blower and a filter cartridge. You can place it as close to your computer as you wish, there will be no issue. Chaser's concern over ionizing air filters has some small basis in fact. In factories that produce sensitive electronics, it is standard procedure to ionize facility air to reduce the accumulation of static charge on surfaces. Industrial air ionization systems produce equal amounts of positive and negative ions and do not generally remove particulates. That's the domain of air filtration systems. Home ionic air purifiers produced primarily negative ions. Those ions commingle with dust particles, giving them a net negative charge. That produces an attraction between the dust and nearby surfaces, which often are at lower electrostatic potential. Negative ion systems use other objects in the room as filter material, and your computer would be one of those objects, attracting dust out of the air. The net effect would be less dust in the air, and more dust in your computer. There may be some small increase in the amount of static electric shock moving people in the room can generate, but I'd not be terribly worried about that. Wintertime humidification generally solves that (and other) problems in the home.
  20. Yeah, a similar story popped up last week, with a potential explanation... https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/17/health/south-korea-coronavirus-retesting-positive-intl-hnk/index.html
  21. Well, you needn't trust the Chinese study to discover that the claim I quoted is false. The study Qie linked sent me researching immune response in general, and I learned some stuff. There are several ways the body can attack viral infections, only one of which produces antibodies. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK8423/ The unexpected absence of antibodies in some COVID patients in the Chinese study was theorized to be potentially due to an alternate immune response leading to remission. Nearly two months ago, I read of some COVID deaths attributed to cytokine storms, an inflammatory immune response run amok that damages healthy tissue. I think (I'll have to do more reading) that those victims might not have produced antibodies, as the cytokine immune response is different. So, here we have a trusted medical resource, the Netherland's National Institute for Public Health, making a claim that's (if I'm understanding all I've been reading) not true. These sorts of errors happen all the time, and are useful, if ultimately unhelpful, tools to attack expertise.
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