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Innula Zenovka

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Everything posted by Innula Zenovka

  1. I have to say that, when you finally do come to see the transition into night, it's well worth waiting for. Yesterday I was having fun riding my midnight black alicorn hell for leather down the fantasy regions' roads, and then suddenly the lights began to change and things started to light up. It really is a wonderful effect, made even more magical by the element of surprise.
  2. And what downloadable content do you there is that a prosecutor might ask a court in the US to consider about someone's actual activities in SL?
  3. Look at this from the point of view of the prosecutor. In order to bring a case, you have to be able to say to the jury, this is what we say the defendant did, contrary to section whatever of such and such an act, these are the points the law says, before you can convict, we must prove to you so you are sure they are true, and this is how will prove all that. I used to have to know about this for my job in the UK, and I can tell you the kind of evidence the prosecutor needs for a conviction on particular charges. If the material is found on the defendant's computer, then the prosecution has, if necessary, to be able to show the images to the jury, and say "this is what we found, and these are the particular characteristics that make it illegal". Similarly, if the prosecutor can prove the defendant visited particular urls, then the prosecution has a different set of things to prove, but one way or another, to get a conviction, the prosecution has to have some images, or some equivalent form of evidence, to show the jury. Other than the last location image, where would the prosecutor find something to show the jury to prove any particular point about their activities in SL? I can't think of anything they'd find, either on someone's computer or their chat logs, unless they'd been particularly careless with screenshots and video recordings.
  4. Yes, but there's also all sorts of stuff that's rather more than simply lewd available, and that people normally have to buy using bitcoin on the dark web, and sometimes lands them in court if it's found on their computers, and it looks as if the payment processors were dissatisfied with OnlyFans' efforts to keep that kind of material off the site. OnlyFans, for their part, presumably decided that that moderation just wouldn't work, at least not at the kind of level they were prepared to provide so they decided to cut their losses and get out of the market completely. As I understand the story, had there been an affordable way for OnlyFans to restrict their content to material that was simply lewd, then there wouldn't be a problem, since we already know that payment processors are quite OK with lewd material. It used to be part of my job to know about what's legal and what isn't at least broadly, and the stuff that's illegal is something that most people really wouldn't want to watch. Nevertheless, there's a mindboggling large market for it, and producers will try to supply that market any way they can. As to online sex workers, I think that's a separate issue, and that they've been caught up in measures that aren't specifically aimed at them. I wish they did have an online environment in which they can safely advertise their services, and maybe someone will come up with a commercially viable solution.
  5. I think the inherent problem of hosting a site like OnlyFans is the same one any form of social media faces -- how on earth do you police it, given that a proportion of the content people upload is bound to be pretty extreme, and probably unlawful in several jurisdictions? That, in turn, is bound to make payment processors nervous both because of what they perceive as possible reputational damage but also possible criminal liability . I can well imagine OnlyFans deciding that they've had a long and successful run, making scads of money in the process, so they'll fold at this point, and carry on promoting their non-sex channels, and trying to build that. Doubtless sex workers making content for OnlyFans will do what they've had to do time and again, as various other content sharing services have become successful as hosts for sexual content and then, after the sites have made bank for a few years, dropped that kind of content. That is, they'll find a new hosting service, and that'll last a few years, and then they'll have to find another one.
  6. LL don't have a system to make sure I'm paying my taxes, of course, because I'm a Brit, but I don't see it. I mean, it doesn't really matter to HM Revenue and Customs why people are sending me money via my PayPal account (or my OnlyFans Account, or Patreon, or GoFundMe or whatever) so long as I declare it as taxable income, any more than it matters to them whether I make my money selling content in SL or selling widgets on eBay or singing madrigals on OnlyFans. OnlyFans have been forced into this by Mastercard and Visa, who threatened to fire them as customers if didn't tone down the sex side of the business. It's nothing to do with tax.
  7. I think both decentraland and somnium space need to do a little work on their avatars first And also (can't upload this, so you'll have to click to see what somnium avs look like) https://i.gyazo.com/d4029110414b9b85d1df03128258d191.mp4
  8. I don't think that analogy works, though. OnlyFans presumably pay tax on their profits, as do the company's owners. What people who upload content to the site do with with the 80% of their earnings that OnlyFans pass on to them is presumably their responsibility, just as we, not Linden Lab or Tilia, are responsible for our own tax liability on anything we earn from SL. I can understand OnlyFans being worried about hosting illegal content or sex workers using the site to advertise their services for in-person meetings, which might or might not land OnlyFans in trouble with the law in particular jurisdictions, but I don't think their performers' tax affairs are likely to be a matter of particular concern to them.
  9. You'll forgive me if I've missed an important part of the story, but you seem to be suggesting that the BBC's anonymous informant, whom they call "Christof" and say is, or was, a moderator with OnlyFans who provided them with a copy of the moderators' manual which they've seen and to which they refer, is nothing of the sort, but is, in fact, a New York Times journalist called Nicholas Kristof, based on... well, what, other than the apparent similarity of their names and that neither of them seem much to like OnlyFans? And what's the role the BBC in all this? Presumably, according to this theory, they must be in on this deception practiced by Nicholas Kristof the journalist, as must be their legal team, who wouldn't let a gross and libellous fabrication pass otherwise. Of the face of it, that looks like Kraken-level crackpot conspiracism, which isn't normally like you so I suspect there's something I'm not seeing. At least I hope there is.
  10. According to the BBC, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58255865 (If you want to know what word is OK with the BBC but not with the forum software, you'll have to read the article).
  11. There's a considerable difference between pixel sex in SL and live shows on Only Fans by sex workers. I'll worry about it when it happens.
  12. Oh, I agree that the psychology of the sales method is key to all this, but I think that before anyone can start applying psychological insights to nudge customers or gamblers into behaving in particular ways, they need to know what the baseline is before they start -- before I start throwing stuff at the wall to see what sticks, I feel a lot more comfortable if I already have a good idea of how adhesive both the wall and my projectiles are in the first place before I can start to determine whether any changes in my throwing strategy are actually having much effect, good or bad. Chance and probabilities can't be bucked, or not for very long, and I think it's important to remember that even the most effective sales or gambling strategy is going to do no more than tilt the odds somewhat, one way or the other. So we need to know what would probably have happened anyway before we can decide how to try give the fates a helping hand (and hope they don't take offence, as they are so often reputed to do when mortals try to interfere in their affairs).
  13. Yes, but that's the whole point of having a state -- that in order to enjoy the benefits of living in a society of any size and complexity, everyone has to agree that, ultimately, when anyone has a dispute of some sort with someone else that they can't settle between themselves, they agree to submit to the judgment of a court, that enforces a known set of rules, and from that a lot of other things follow. The state has to have the monopoly on deciding what is and isn't the legitimate use of force, and it has to be able to enforce its decisions. That's what it's for. All states are authoritarian, in that sense, because states can and do impose their authority or they wouldn't be states. ETA: I saw the collapse of the USSR, and what followed, up close for a few years, and saw what it's like when the state collapses, and people turned to the various mafias for protection and dispute resolution rather than the courts. It's an experience that has stayed with me.
  14. I'm very ready to be persuaded I'm wrong here, since I know I don't really understand probabilities that well, but it seems to me that, while I'm very aware of the dangers of the maturity of chance fallacy if you're a gambler, it isn't such a fallacy if you're the house, and certainly not if you're the owner of a gacha or conveyor belt machine, because then you're risking nothing but foregoing the extra money you might have made had you set the fatpack price rather differently, since the house/conveyor belt owner is interested not in the outcome of any particular pull or sequence of pulls but in how many pulls are made during the course of a week by anyone. However long it might take me, and however much it might cost me, to collect a full set of rares and commons on my own, the owner of a popular gacha or conveyor belt should, or so it seems to me, be able to predict, with a reasonable degree of certainty, what, over several days, the outcome of several thousands or tens of thousands of pulls will look like, and this prediction will be even more accurate for the outcome over a year, and it's their weekly and annual figures they're interested in, not the outcome of any particular pull or short sequence of pulls. ETA: While the fact that Red or Evens won on a particular spin of the roulette wheel doesn't tell me anything about what will happen on the next spin, I think I can be reasonably confident that, the more times I spin the wheel (I'm playing as the house) the more likely Red and Black are going to even out over time, and if they don't, I'll probably ask my security people to pull out the wheel for tests and replace it with a new one, and to take a close look at the CCTV recordings.
  15. http://wiki.secondlife.com/wiki/Linden_Lab_Official:Residents'_privacy_rights#Remote_Monitoring
  16. I think originally European fascist parties used "totalitarian" to mean they would unite and govern on behalf of the totality of the nation (hence "totalitarian") rather than on behalf of any particular class, religious, economic, or regional interest group, whose parties, they said, were ruining everything by pursuing selfish, factional, interests. Leninist and Stalinist parties took a different approach, whereby the workers owned and controlled everything, with the Central Committee of the Communist Party exercising power on their behalf. The problem with both, of course, is that neither system can handle internal conflicts of interest very well, since different groups within a society inevitably have different interests and goals, and conflict and change are constants, but constants that the totalitarians -- who have abolished internal conflict, after all -- can interpret only as the result of sabotage and sedition practiced by agents of some external enemy, which is why totalitarian governments on both the left and right need an extensive and repressive internal security apparatus.
  17. If I properly understand the implications of @Madelaine McMasters's reply, and the results of the Couple Collector calculation, on average I'm likely to have to spend something between 3 and 3.5 times the pull price multiplied by the number of items in the set before I can collect a full set of 22 items, before we start weighting for rarity values (L$20 x 22 * 3 == L$1320. So if the fatpack costs L$2000, I'm better off playing the machine at L$20 , because, more often than not, I'll collect a full set before I manage to spend L$2000. I'm not quite sure how I adjust the calculation to take account of the relative rarity value of some of the items, though, since on each pull I have (e.g.) an 80% chance of drawing one of 18 common items but only a 20% chance of drawing one of the 4 rares (or however I want to configure it). (I long ago learned the hard and expensive way that if risk is exciting, you're doing it wrong, which I why I now always seek to clarify this kind of calculation with experts).
  18. Thanks, everyone, for pointing me to the various calculators, and particular thanks to @Madelaine McMastersfor actually running the calculations for me at (Patch has now taken pity on the thread and put it out of its misery). Maddy writes: My intuition didn't do much more than register that it was going to take more pulls than I could easily calculate, so I turned it off at that point -- with something like this, I deliberately try not to allow myself to form preliminary ideas when I know I don't understand what I'm getting into, at least when it comes to calculating odds, because I've learned all to well how easy it is to lose a lot of money betting on hunches when I don't already have an idea of what the odds look like. My intuition now, though, is that if I'm trying to collect a full set of 22 without any duplicates, I can probably expect to have to make a little over 3 times as many pulls as there are objects before I'm in sight of my target.
  19. Yes, that's it. A Bayesian estimate. While I understand the logic, actually using the formula to calculate the distribution of pulls necessary to complete a full set of n items is beyond me, I'm afraid. Unless I misunderstand things, though, that calculation is, or should be, central to the business logic of merchants who rely heavily on gachas, so presumably it's something people are used to doing, isn't it?
  20. How do I go about calculating the likely range of pulls it's going to take to collect a full set? If I'm incredibly lucky, and get item different one each pull, it's going to take me 22 pulls. But to achieve that I have to pull a different item each time, which is very unlikely to happen. There's a probability curve there somewhere, but I don't know how to calculate that. Can anyone assist me? What's the sort of median spend if I try to collect a full set?
  21. How do "the people," or any one or more persons, go about persuading each other to provide goods and services without access to credit? It's OK when they know each other, but when they don't? I mean, I'm just trying to imagine how, in the real world, "the people" get together to make the lights come on when you click a light-switch, or to ensure that water comes out when you turn on a tap, or somehow cause the necessary raw materials to assemble themselves into a laptop or a can of beans, and without capital and access to credit, I don't see how it works.
  22. In some societies, the US and the UK among them, though, money and power are very unevenly distributed between different ethnic groups. It's only within my lifetime, for example, that it's been unlawful to discriminate on racial grounds when selling domestic property in the UK or the USA, with the result that. if you're white, you're a lot more likely to have inherited at least some of equity in your parents' home than if you're black, because of the comparative ease (or otherwise) with which your parents or grandparents were able to obtain a mortgage and buy a family home. Similar considerations apply access to education, health care, and so on, when you're a child, and even before you're born, because of the environment in which your mother lives and the sort of health care available to her. I've got where I am in part because I'm bright and good at what I do, but primarily because I've had a series of very lucky breaks, and one of my main strokes of luck was being born to parents with plenty of money who lived in a nice house and were able to send me to a good school, and generally offer help and material support when I needed it.
  23. Those who own the land and the means of production, distribution and exchange, I think, and how it affects those with less power depends, ultimately, on what the law allows those with more power to get away with and from what the law fails to protect those who lack the power and agency to protect themselves..
  24. You can't. Primarily to stop existing content from breaking, when LL introduced the ability to change names, at the same time they introduced the function llRequestUserKey(string name), which returns the user's UUID, which you can then use to look up their current username. In other words, people are supposed to be able to link old and new names if they want to. All I can suggest is that you AR and block anyone who harasses you, change your picks, avoid your old hang-outs for a while and explore some new places for a couple of weeks (possibly as an alt). They'll soon get tired of it and forget about you and move on to something else, and then you can start thinking about using your old account again.
  25. Similarly, I'm in SL to do what I enjoy doing. If I can make a bit of money doing it (and I do), that's great, but there are plenty of ways I can make a lot more money doing stuff in First Life, too, so that's not the main consideration.
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